NFL
TSP Quarterback ReportsFull-game film analysis · Downloadable dataHow Josh Allen’s running sustained Buffalo against the Rams
Josh Allen passed for 210 yards and rushed for 121 in Buffalo's 37–34 overtime win on October 12. His dropback record shows how scrambles and gains after the catch offset a limited downfield passing game.

TSP Quarterback Reports · Full-game film and data analysis
- Cmp / Att
- 12 / 19
- Pass yards
- 210
- Pass TD
- 1
- Interceptions
- 1
- Sacks
- 1
- Rushes
- 10
- Rush yards
- 121
- Rush TD
- 1

The game in six charts
Outcomes with and without pressure
How much came from screens
Completion by throw depth
Where the throws went
Play-action usage and production
When the yards came
Watch the quarterback highlights
What to watch
The official highlights show the game action. The film findings below connect individual outcomes to the observed rush, receiving structure and quarterback movement.
Watch on YouTubeWatch Josh Allen’s official NFL highlights
Film findings
These examples show how the observed rush, run action and receiving structure relate to specific game outcomes.
Q1 · 14:08
3rd-and-7 at LA 23
Sack: 8 yards lost
- Rushers
- 4
- Pressure
- Yes
- Blitz
- No
- Screen
- No
Read the film observations
Buffalo uses shotgun with Ty Johnson beside Allen and Alec Anderson as an extra offensive lineman. Fiske, Josaiah Stewart, Kobie Turner and Aaron Donald rush, while Byron Young drops into coverage.
Stewart attacks through the interior and reaches Allen for the recorded eight-yard sack. Four rushers produce pressure on this play. The visible rush path establishes the disruption, while the protection assignment and intended read remain unestablished.
Q2 · 05:56
2nd-and-9 at BUF 43
T.Johnson reception: 40 yards
- Rushers
- 3
- Pressure
- No
- Blitz
- Yes
- Screen
- Yes
Read the film observations
Allen throws behind the line to Johnson as several offensive linemen release ahead of the back. Connor McGovern engages a defender in the receiving lane, and Tylan Grable blocks farther along Johnson’s path. The blocking arrangement establishes the screen.
Johnson turns upfield for 40 yards to the Rams’ 17. The recorded catch starts four yards behind the line and supplies 44 yards after the catch. Donald and Turner attack the pocket with off-ball Landman, producing three rushers. Young follows Johnson’s receiving path. Allen’s platform remains clear through delivery.
OT · 08:48
2nd-and-16 at BUF 21
K.Shakir reception: 57 yards
- Rushers
- 6
- Pressure
- Yes
- Blitz
- Yes
- Screen
- No
Read the film observations
Buffalo’s line stays in pass protection as Shakir releases from the right slot toward the middle. Young closes around the right edge, and Allen moves forward through the narrowing pocket to deliver. The approach visibly constrains the throw; Young and Stewart contact Allen after release.
Shakir secures the short-middle target and carries it to the Rams’ 22. Five recorded air yards and 52 yards after the catch account for the 57-yard completion. This is a conventional downfield route with a long receiving gain after the catch, outside the game’s screen category.
OT · 03:35
2nd-and-7 at BUF 41
Scramble: 19 yards
- Rushers
- 4
- Pressure
- No
- Blitz
- No
- Screen
- No
Read the film observations
Allen starts in an empty shotgun set. Stewart, Turner, Donald and Young rush while Landman remains behind the front during the passing phase. Allen retains the ball and steps into the gap between the interior blocks.
He tucks and accelerates before Young reaches toward him, then continues through midfield for 19 yards. The visible sequence supports an open rushing lane without a prior defensive disruption of the passing platform. A later pursuit or tackle cannot by itself establish a pressure-caused scramble.
Download the film analysis (JSON)
Film coverage and classifications
4 examples are developed below. The complete chart retains all 36 quarterback events, including 28 counted dropbacks and 8 supplemental events. Unknown tactical fields remain explicit.
Every quarterback event was matched to the official game situation and sequence in the wide and end-zone Coaches Film views. Tactical observations use inspection of chronological saved frame sequences from authenticated playback. Each play retains its supporting view, footage locator and field observation. Pressure, screens, play action, rush counts and off-ball rush involvement are classified on every primary dropback. Catchability and drops are classified on every eligible receiving target. Credited receptions establish a legal receiving opportunity and no-drop outcome; those derived judgments are labeled separately from film observations. No validated manual snap-to-release interval was measured. Footage locators refer to the linked DAZN edition; no footage is reproduced.
Depth, yardage and the decisive possession
Where the recorded yardage came from
Throw depth against the pregame baseline
Passing by depth and direction
The final winning possession
Outcomes across the full dropback record
Read the detailed game analysis
With the game tied in overtime, Allen turned second-and-7 at Buffalo's 41 into a 19-yard scramble. On the next snap, he ran another 13 yards around the left end. Those two plays moved the ball to the Rams' 27, where Buffalo could set up Tyler Bass's winning 45-yard field goal.
The play record classifies the first run as a scramble and the second as a non-scramble quarterback run. That distinction captures the central feature of Allen's night: his contribution extended well beyond the passes that reached receivers. Buffalo won 37–34 at SoFi Stadium on October 12, 2026, with Allen producing 331 gross passing-plus-rushing yards.
Running supplied a different route to production
Allen finished with 10 carries for 121 yards and one touchdown. Eight source-classified scrambles accounted for 107 of those yards. His other two runs supplied 14 yards, including the one-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter. The play-by-play distinguishes the run outcomes without establishing their intended design.
The late touchdown drive also showed why the distinction mattered. With the score tied at 27, Allen scrambled 15 yards on third-and-5. Later in the possession, he gained 21 yards on second-and-17, reaching the Los Angeles 5. James Cook scored from there, giving Buffalo a 34–27 lead before the Rams answered.
The passing total needs a similar separation. Across Allen's 12 completions, the recorded decomposition is 14 net completed air yards and 196 yards after the catch. The latter supplied 93.3% of his 210 gross passing yards. That describes where the yardage developed; it does not divide credit among the thrower, receiver, blockers and play design.
The after-catch gains also exceeded the nflfastR play-by-play model's expectation on the covered completions. Eleven unpenalized catches produced 190 yards after reception against 73.4 expected yards, a surplus of 10.6 yards per catch. One completion with offensive holding is excluded from this comparison. The model uses the recorded catch location and does not isolate the receiver's work or grade Allen's decisions.
A shorter passing mix than the first four games
Ty Johnson's 40-yard screen reception began four yards behind the line of scrimmage and included 44 yards after the catch. Ray Davis's 31-yard screen reception began seven yards behind the line and included 38 yards afterward. In overtime, Khalil Shakir turned a pass recorded five yards downfield into a 57-yard gain, with 52 yards after reception.
Allen attempted six of his 19 passes behind the line, a 31.6% share. In his first four 2026 games, that share was 16.8% over 119 throws. Average target depth fell from 9.8 to 7.6 yards. Those are changes in this game's recorded distribution, not proof of a deliberate tactical adjustment.
The deeper attempts supplied the clearest complication. Allen completed none of the three throws traveling at least 20 air yards. One was intercepted by Jaylen Watson late in the first half. He completed one of two throws in the 10–19-yard band, the 17-yard pass to Shakir during the fourth-quarter go-ahead drive. The short gains and running carried the production; the three deep throws produced no completions.
Passing and running against pressure
Five visible screens supply 83 of 210 credited passing yards, representing 39.5% of the total. Allen completes all five attempts. His other throws produce 7 completions on 14 attempts for 127 yards.
The screens explain part of Allen’s production through organized short receptions and blocking. Shakir’s 57-yard overtime gain adds a different route to receiving yardage: the line protects, Shakir runs toward the middle, and most of the gain follows the catch. Allen’s final 19-yard scramble begins through an interior opening before Young pursues. That sequence cautions against treating every scramble as a pressure-driven escape.
Allen faced pressure on 10 of 28 dropbacks (35.7%). He completed 2 of 6 passes for 83 yards, threw an interception and took one sack. Three scrambles added 46 yards, while five scrambles without pressure gained 61. The two pressured completions include Shakir’s 57-yard overtime gain. Running supported the offense both when defenders disrupted the pocket and when an open lane invited Allen to leave it.
The whole dropback record changes the assessment
Allen's 28 counted dropbacks generated 19.03 expected points added: 9.20 from 19 throws, minus 1.88 on one sack, and 11.70 from eight scrambles. Throws plus sacks averaged 0.366 EPA per event, close to Stafford's 0.353. Including the scrambles raised Allen's combined average to 0.680, against 0.286 in his 136-dropback pregame baseline. Seventeen of the 28 game plays had positive EPA.
EPA measures the outcome of the whole play in its game context. Allen's nine-yard scramble in the third quarter also carried a defensive-holding penalty, while an overtime completion lost field position through offensive holding. Those penalty effects remain in the counted events. Five related no-play penalties are preserved in the ledger and excluded from the primary dropback rate.
Third-down outcomes supplied counterevidence to the high overall EPA. Allen converted two of seven third-down dropbacks, compared with 16 of 33 in his first four games. A third-and-13 scramble gained nine yards and also received an automatic first down through defensive holding. That penalty advanced the possession, but the source does not count it as a conventional third-down conversion.
The completion model offers a narrower view of the throwing. On its 18 covered attempts, nflfastR puts Allen 1.4 percentage points below expected completion, compared with 6.0 points above expectation before the game. One official incompletion has no model value. Keeping that attempt in his 12-for-19 official line while excluding it from the model calculation prevents the two denominators from being confused.
The finish still depended on more than the quarterback
Shakir's overtime catch brought Buffalo to the Los Angeles 22, but Cook lost a fumble on the next play. The Rams then reached field-goal range before Greg Rousseau blocked Harrison Mevis's 48-yard attempt. That special-teams play gave Buffalo the possession on which Allen's final two runs set up Bass.
Allen's 121 rushing yards, the receiving gains after the catch and the final field goal all belong in the explanation of the win. His interception, early sack and uncompleted deep attempts belong there too. The record supports a productive night built through several kinds of quarterback involvement, with downfield passing a clear limitation.
Explore all 36 quarterback events and film classifications
The full-game film chart
The full record contains 28 counted quarterback dropbacks and 8 supplemental events. Use the chart to connect each result with its available film evidence, then examine the classified conditions and their outcomes.
- Counted dropbacks
- 28Throws, sacks and source-classified scrambles
- Matched wide and end-zone views
- 28/28Counted dropbacks with both footage views
- Supplemental events
- 8/8Both views; excluded from dropback rates
Classification coverage
| Film field | Classified / eligible | Observed values | Unresolved | Not applicable |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pressure before decision | 28/28 | 10 yes / 18 no (35.7% yes) | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Screen | 28/28 | 5 yes / 23 no (17.9% yes) | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Play-action mechanics | 28/28 | 6 yes / 22 no (21.4% yes) | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Initial rushers | 28/28 | 28 classified | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Total rushers | 28/28 | 28 classified | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Five-plus rush | 28/28 | 10 yes / 18 no (35.7% yes) | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Role-based blitz | 28/28 | 8 yes / 20 no (28.6% yes) | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Throwaway | 19/19 | 1 yes / 18 no (5.3% yes) | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Catchability | 18/18 | 18 classified | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 1 |
| Drop | 18/18 | 1 yes / 17 no (5.6% yes) | 0 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 1 |
| Pass deflected at line | 2/19 | 0 yes / 2 no | 10 unclear; 7 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Contact after release | 12/19 | 2 yes / 10 no | 7 unclear; 0 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
| Snap-to-release interval | 0/19 | No classified values | 3 unclear; 16 unclassified; 0 not reviewed | 0 |
The eligible denominator is counted dropbacks for rush, pressure and action fields, and counted throws for throwaway fields. Catchability/drop retain the full throw population but separately exclude verified intentional throwaways from receiving eligibility. Not-applicable values and unresolved observations are shown separately. A classified-subset split does not establish the full-game rate.
Production by observed film condition
Each field shows its eligible population, resolved observations and unknowns. Only plays with a resolved condition enter that condition’s production line. Unknowns remain excluded from both Yes and No.
Screen
28 eligible dropbacks: 28 resolved, 0 unknown. Supplemental events are excluded.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 23 | 7/14, 127 yards | 1 / 1 | 1 / 8 | 107 | 0.638 |
| Yes | 5 | 5/5, 83 yards | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 | 0.869 |
Play-action mechanics
28 eligible dropbacks: 28 resolved, 0 unknown. Supplemental events are excluded.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 22 | 10/16, 197 yards | 1 / 1 | 1 / 5 | 72 | 0.767 |
| Yes | 6 | 2/3, 13 yards | 0 / 0 | 0 / 3 | 35 | 0.359 |
Initial rushers
28 eligible dropbacks: 28 resolved, 0 unknown. Supplemental events are excluded.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 3/3, 54 yards | 1 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 | 1.659 |
| 4 | 15 | 4/8, 34 yards | 0 / 0 | 1 / 6 | 70 | 0.265 |
| 5 | 8 | 3/6, 64 yards | 0 / 1 | 0 / 2 | 37 | 0.820 |
| 6 | 2 | 2/2, 58 yards | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 | 1.755 |
Total rushers
28 eligible dropbacks: 28 resolved, 0 unknown. Supplemental events are excluded.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 3/3, 54 yards | 1 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 | 1.659 |
| 4 | 15 | 4/8, 34 yards | 0 / 0 | 1 / 6 | 70 | 0.265 |
| 5 | 8 | 3/6, 64 yards | 0 / 1 | 0 / 2 | 37 | 0.820 |
| 6 | 2 | 2/2, 58 yards | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 | 1.755 |
Five-plus rush
28 eligible dropbacks: 28 resolved, 0 unknown. Supplemental events are excluded.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 18 | 7/11, 88 yards | 1 / 0 | 1 / 6 | 70 | 0.497 |
| Yes | 10 | 5/8, 122 yards | 0 / 1 | 0 / 2 | 37 | 1.007 |
Role-based blitz
28 eligible dropbacks: 28 resolved, 0 unknown. Supplemental events are excluded.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 20 | 7/12, 79 yards | 1 / 0 | 1 / 7 | 92 | 0.467 |
| Yes | 8 | 5/7, 131 yards | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 | 15 | 1.211 |
Pressure before decision
28 eligible dropbacks: 28 resolved, 0 unknown. Supplemental events are excluded.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 18 | 10/13, 127 yards | 1 / 0 | 0 / 5 | 61 | 0.602 |
| Yes | 10 | 2/6, 83 yards | 0 / 1 | 1 / 3 | 46 | 0.819 |
Catchability
18 eligible receiving targets: 18 resolved, 0 unknown. 9 nonthrowing dropbacks are outside this field’s scope.
The population retains 19 counted throws; 1 verified intentional throwaway attempt is separately receiving-ineligible. Completed-reception no-drop outcomes do not assign an accuracy grade.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catchable | 15 | 12/15, 210 yards | 1 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 | 0.906 |
| Uncatchable | 3 | 0/3, 0 yards | 0 / 1 | 0 / 0 | 0 | -1.263 |
Drop
18 eligible receiving targets: 18 resolved, 0 unknown. 9 nonthrowing dropbacks are outside this field’s scope.
The population retains 19 counted throws; 1 verified intentional throwaway attempt is separately receiving-ineligible. Completed-reception no-drop outcomes do not assign an accuracy grade.
| Condition | Dropbacks | Passing | Pass TD / INT | Sacks / scrambles | Scramble yards | Event EPA / dropback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 17 | 12/17, 210 yards | 1 / 1 | 0 / 0 | 0 | 0.613 |
| Yes | 1 | 0/1, 0 yards | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 | -0.618 |
Passing lines use attempts within each condition and credited yardage after accepted penalties. Sacks and scramble yards are separate. Conditions may overlap. These game-specific associations do not establish a causal scheme effect. Event EPA is the separately identified nflfastR whole-play model, rather than a quarterback film grade.
Film field definitions and source types
- Screen
- A pass with a visible planned catch-and-run blocking arrangement: one or more blockers position or release ahead of a short receiver while that receiver receives near or behind the line. Include running-back, receiver and tight-end screens. A checkdown or negative air-yard pass alone does not establish a screen. A screen may also contain visible run-action mechanics, so the two labels may overlap. Counted throws, sacks and scrambles may be classified when screen mechanics are directly visible. An unthrown screen on a sack or scramble needs positive visual evidence. Completion-based screen production uses throws separately.
- Play-action mechanics
- The quarterback visibly presents or fakes a handoff, pitch or run-option exchange to a potential runner, then retains the ball for a passing phase. The defense need not react successfully to the fake. Under-center, pistol and shotgun run presentations can qualify. A back crossing the formation, a normal pass set or a shotgun flag alone does not qualify; describing a visible exchange does not establish the called playbook concept or an RPO provider flag. Counted dropbacks, including a subsequent sack or scramble. Do not infer a specific playbook call or whether a visible mesh was called RPO.
- Initial rushers
- Distinct defenders attacking the line or quarterback in the initial pass-rush phase after the snap. Record their jersey identities and paths. A defender backing into coverage is not a rusher even if aligned near the line. Describe the observed initial phase separately from delayed rush and later pursuit; a four-man initial rush may become a five-man total rush.
- Total rushers
- Distinct defenders intentionally attacking the pocket before pass release, sack, or the quarterback clearly commits to an open-field scramble. Include a delayed rush or a defender who attacks after his assigned eligible receiver stays in protection. Exclude coverage defenders and spies who begin pursuit only after a scramble commitment. Record any uncertain timing as null instead of resolving it from formation or tackle involvement. Source-independent TSP manual count. Requires both views or an equally complete view and named paths; does not establish pressure or a provider blitz flag.
- Five-plus rush
- Derived only from a verified total_pass_rushers count: total_pass_rushers >=5. Call it five-plus rush, with this definition visible, rather than claiming an FTN/PFF/NGS blitz match. Counted dropbacks; rate denominator is classified counted dropbacks, with unknowns displayed.
- Role-based blitz
- Separate TSP off-ball/defensive-back rush involvement: an identified defender operating from an off-ball linebacker or defensive-back role deliberately attacks the passing pocket before the quarterback decision. Identity may be established by jersey/roster or an unambiguous pre-snap position and continuous path. A replacement rush can qualify with only four total rushers; a normal on-ball edge rusher is not automatically an extra blitzer. Coverage, a spy hold or pursuit beginning only after open-field scramble commitment does not qualify. Pre-snap rush presentation alone is insufficient. A visible role/path label, separate from total-rusher count and five-plus rush. Use yes/no when the pertinent defenders and timing are established, uncertain/null only for an actual role/path/timing visibility gap. This field does not claim a provider blitz match or certify the called defensive scheme.
- Pressure before decision
- TSP pre-decision defensive pressure on a counted dropback: a sack, defender contact affecting the passing action, or an immediate sack threat visibly constraining the quarterback before release or open-field scramble commitment. A hurry can be supported by defensive evasion, a reset or displacement of the platform, altered delivery/arm slot, or urgent release against an approaching or free rusher. A visible immediate threat can support pressure without proof of the quarterback's intended progression or thoughts. A normal rollout, ordinary pocket movement, a blocked nearby defender or rusher count alone is insufficient. Keep pressure subtype, threatening defender/path and event ordering in evidence notes; pressure does not assign protection fault. Counted dropbacks, including sacks and scrambles, with actual pre-decision event timing. This is a stated TSP manual definition. PFF pressure, official QB hits and NGS modeled pressures may use different conventions and remain attributed to their actual sources. A recorded QB hit alone does not fill this manual field.
- Pressure evidence
- Jersey identity, path, timing and directly visible effect supporting true or false pressure. Null means not classified; an empty array must not be read as proof of a clean pocket.
- Contact after release
- Visible physical contact on the quarterback after the ball leaves his hand. Record the source window and whether it is separately present in the official QB-hit field. This field does not independently resolve pre-release pressure.
- Throwaway
- An intentional disposal with directly visible placement away from any plausible receiving attempt, supported by receiver locations and quarterback action. An incompletion outside the boundary, a ball thrown through contact, or a target name alone is insufficient. Thrown passes only; keep null on sacks, scrambles and unavailable receiving views.
- Pass deflected at line
- A visible defender touches the flight of the pass near the line before it reaches the targeted receiving area. Do not infer a deflection from an unusually short pass, the PBP pass-defense field or a raised arm alone. Thrown passes only.
- Catchability
- A realistic legal physical receiving opportunity at the actual arrival. A credited completed reception establishes catchable for this receiving-opportunity field, including difficult or exceptional catches. On an unsuccessful target, judge placement, receiver reach and defensive alteration from the actual sequence. Uncatchable means the actual ball affords no realistic legal opportunity. Catchability is separate from accuracy, optimal placement, expected handling and drop responsibility. The full intervening ball flight need not be reconstructed to resolve the arrival opportunity. Thrown receiving targets, excluding positively verified intentional throwaways and spikes. Credited completed receptions may be resolved with explicit official_outcome evidence. Unsuccessful targets require actual arrival evidence. Do not equate this TSP judgment with a provider field or accuracy grade.
- Drop
- A failed reception of an aimed pass that presents a realistic legal receiving opportunity, attributable to receiver handling rather than decisive defensive disruption. Verified completed receptions of the credited target are no-drop by the official outcome, including difficult or exceptional catches. On unsuccessful targeted passes, assign true only when the arrival, receiver action and relevant defensive contact establish a catchable opportunity that the receiver failed to secure. A touch of the hands alone does not establish a drop; an interception alone does not rule one out. All 73 counted analytical throws remain in the population audit. Receiving eligibility, resolved drop judgments, unresolved eligible judgments and not-applicable attempts are reported separately. No drop values on sacks or scrambles. A targeted tipped pass or hit-as-thrown pass is not automatically excluded: judge the resulting receiving opportunity. Drops per pass attempt and drops per resolved catchable target use separately named denominators. Successful two-point receptions remain in the separate supplemental scope.
- Snap-to-release interval
- Optional manual interval between the visible initial movement of the snapped ball and the first frame in which the ball leaves the quarterback hand. Use the same camera angle for both events and log its timestamp/precision. Editing cuts, uncertain frame timing or a missing snap/release leave null. Do not label this FTN or NGS time to throw. Actual thrown passes only. Sacks and scrambles need separately named decision intervals, not a fake release time.
- Formation and motion
- Describe visible alignment, motion and shifts without converting them to a called protection or intended read. Offensive left/right always means the offense facing its opponent goal, not camera screen left/right.
- Visible routes and blocks
- Describe visible receiver stems/breaks and block engagements. A route appearance, quarterback head turn or a receiver becoming open does not independently establish prescribed progression, coverage responsibility, protection error or missed read.
Official and recorded outcomes stay separate from TSP film observations. nflfastR EPA and expected YAC are model outputs; they do not isolate quarterback responsibility. Provider observations retain their provider definitions.
Every quarterback event
36 events: 28 counted dropbacks and 8 supplemental events.
| Time and situation | Recorded result | Pressure | Initial rushers | Total rushers | Play action | Screen | Footage and evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 14:132 & 7 at LA 23Play 90Counted dropback | Incomplete: 0 yards to D.KnoxBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:01:18–00:01:32End zone 00:01:34–00:01:53Wide 00:01:20–00:01:31End zone 00:01:45–00:01:53Wide receiving sequence UI 00:01:28-00:01:30End-zone receiving sequence UI 00:01:48-00:01:50
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (14:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep middle to 88-D.Knox. Recorded air yards: 23 · nflfastR event EPA: -0.618 |
| Q1 14:083 & 7 at LA 23Play 113Counted dropback | Sack: -8 yardsBoth film views | Yes | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:01:56–00:02:14End zone 00:02:16–00:02:30
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (14:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at LA 31 for -8 yards (10-J.Stewart). nflfastR event EPA: -1.880 |
| Q1 05:351 & 10 at BUF 40Play 562Counted dropback | Completion: 7 yards to J.CookBoth film views | No | 5 | 5 | Yes | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:10:46–00:11:02End zone 00:11:06–00:11:20Wide 00:10:52–00:10:56End zone 00:11:09–00:11:19
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. An off-ball defender joins the pocket rush. A visible run-action presentation precedes the retained passing phase. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (5:35) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 4-J.Cook ran ob at BUF 47 for 7 yards (94-D.Johnson; 22-T.McDuffie). Recorded air yards: 2 · Recorded YAC: 5 · nflfastR event EPA: 0.473 |
| Q1 04:241 & 10 at LA 47Play 621Counted dropback | Scramble: 8 yardsBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:11:54–00:12:14End zone 00:12:18–00:12:37
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (4:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end ran ob at LA 39 for 8 yards (35-J.Watson). nflfastR event EPA: 0.444 |
| Q1 03:101 & 10 at LA 36Play 670Supplemental event | Penalty / no play: 0 yardsBoth film views | Yes | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:13:09–00:13:25End zone 00:13:29–00:13:41
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (3:10) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at LA 46 for -10 yards (99-A.Donald). PENALTY on LA-22-T.McDuffie, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at LA 36 - No Play. nflfastR event EPA: 0.380 |
| Q1 01:052 & 9 at LA 11Play 767Counted dropback | Scramble: 6 yardsBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | Yes | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:15:18–00:15:28End zone 00:15:32–00:15:44Wide 00:15:22–00:15:26End zone 00:15:35–00:15:42End zone00:15:36–00:15:42
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. A visible run-action presentation precedes the retained passing phase. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (1:05) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end to LA 5 for 6 yards (99-A.Donald; 3-K.Curl). nflfastR event EPA: -0.066 |
| Q1 00:193 & 3 at LA 5Play 789Counted dropback | Incomplete: 0 yards to D.KnoxBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:15:48–00:16:00End zone 00:16:03–00:16:13Wide 00:15:54–00:15:59End zone 00:16:06–00:16:14wide UI 00:15:57–00:15:59end_zone UI 00:16:11–00:16:13
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (:19) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short left to 88-D.Knox. Recorded air yards: 5 · nflfastR event EPA: -1.650 |
| Q2 07:172 & 6 at BUF 35Play 1333Counted dropback | Scramble: 7 yardsBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | Yes | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:26:14–00:26:30End zone 00:26:35–00:26:45End zone 00:26:36–00:26:41
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. A visible run-action presentation precedes the retained passing phase. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (7:17) 17-J.Allen scrambles left end ran ob at BUF 42 for 7 yards (48-O.Speights). nflfastR event EPA: 0.794 |
| Q2 06:221 & 15 at BUF 37Play 1384Counted dropback | Completion: 6 yards to K.ShakirBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | Yes | Yes | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:27:36–00:27:50End zone 00:27:52–00:28:05
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The short reception has a visible screen blocking arrangement. A visible run-action presentation precedes the retained passing phase. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (6:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to BUF 43 for 6 yards (53-N.Landman). BUF-79-S.Brown was injured during the play. Recorded air yards: -5 · Recorded YAC: 11 · nflfastR event EPA: 0.092 |
| Q2 05:562 & 9 at BUF 43Play 1416Counted dropback | Completion: 40 yards to T.JohnsonBoth film views | No | 3 | 3 | No | Yes | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled00:28:18–00:28:32End zone sampled00:28:40–00:28:57Wide sampled 00:28:12-00:28:32End zone sampled 00:28:34-00:28:58
3 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. An off-ball defender joins the pocket rush. The short reception has a visible screen blocking arrangement. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (5:56) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-T.Johnson pushed ob at LA 17 for 40 yards (0-B.Young). Recorded air yards: -4 · Recorded YAC: 44 · nflfastR event EPA: 2.967 |
| Q2 01:112 & 8 at BUF 14Play 1897Counted dropback | Completion: 7 yards to D.KincaidBoth film views | No | 3 | 3 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:36:14–00:36:35End zone 00:36:37–00:36:58wide UI 36:14–35end_zone UI 36:37–58
3 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (1:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid to BUF 21 for 7 yards (30-J.Wallace). Recorded air yards: -1 · Recorded YAC: 8 · nflfastR event EPA: 0.057 |
| Q2 00:373 & 6 at BUF 16Play 1955Counted dropback | Interception: 0 yards to K.ColemanBoth film views | Yes | 5 | 5 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:38:24–00:38:38End zone 00:38:41–00:39:10Wide recheck00:38:16–00:38:23End-zone recheck00:38:41–00:38:46wide UI 00:38:27–00:38:31end_zone UI 00:38:48–00:38:55
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. An off-ball defender joins the pocket rush. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (:37) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right intended for 0-K.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 35-J.Watson at LA 40. 35-J.Watson to LA 43 for 3 yards (88-D.Knox). Recorded air yards: 44 · nflfastR event EPA: -1.208 |
| Q3 09:541 & 10 at LA 48Play 2484Supplemental event | Penalty / no play: 0 yardsBoth film views | Unclassified | 4 | Unclassified | Yes | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:50:10–00:50:21End zone 00:50:25–00:50:35
A visible run-action presentation precedes the retained passing phase. Recorded play: (9:54) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 0-K.Coleman to LA 31 for 17 yards (37-Q.Lake; 3-K.Curl). PENALTY on BUF-68-T.Grable, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LA 48 - No Play. nflfastR event EPA: -0.935 |
| Q3 08:352 & 21 at BUF 41Play 2542Counted dropback | Incomplete: 0 yards to D.KincaidBoth film views | Yes | 5 | 5 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:51:04–00:51:13End zone 00:51:16–00:51:25End zone UI 00:51:19–00:51:22
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. An off-ball defender joins the pocket rush. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (8:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 86-D.Kincaid. Recorded air yards: 18 · nflfastR event EPA: -0.929 |
| Q3 08:313 & 21 at BUF 41Play 2565Counted dropback | Incomplete: 0 yards to S.BellBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:51:28–00:51:40End zone 00:51:42–00:51:53wide UI 00:51:37–00:51:39end_zone UI 00:51:50–00:51:53
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (8:31) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to 13-S.Bell (35-J.Watson). Recorded air yards: 25 · nflfastR event EPA: -1.058 |
| Q3 05:512 & 10 at MID 50Play 2788Counted dropback | Completion: 5 yards to T.JohnsonBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | Yes | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:55:37–00:55:54End zone 00:55:59–00:56:14
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The short reception has a visible screen blocking arrangement. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (5:51) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-T.Johnson to LA 45 for 5 yards (3-K.Curl). Recorded air yards: -5 · Recorded YAC: 10 · nflfastR event EPA: -0.261 |
| Q3 05:113 & 5 at LA 45Play 2813Counted dropback | Completion: 26 yards to T.JohnsonBoth film views | Yes | 5 | 5 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:56:17–00:56:30End zone 00:56:34–00:56:48wide UI 56:17–30 (earlier paired source review)end_zone UI 56:39–43 enlarged recheck
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. An off-ball defender joins the pocket rush. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (5:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-T.Johnson ran ob at LA 19 for 26 yards (3-K.Curl). Recorded air yards: 5 · Recorded YAC: 21 · nflfastR event EPA: 2.888 |
| Q3 04:341 & 10 at LA 19Play 2843Supplemental event | Penalty / no play: 0 yardsBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:56:56–00:57:07End zone 00:57:11–00:57:24
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (4:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 0-K.Coleman to LA 12 for 7 yards (53-N.Landman). PENALTY on BUF-85-J.Hawes, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at LA 19 - No Play. nflfastR event EPA: -1.102 |
| Q3 04:081 & 20 at LA 29Play 2879Supplemental event | Penalty / no play: 0 yardsBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:57:27–00:57:40End zone 00:57:44–00:57:57
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (4:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 0-K.Coleman. PENALTY on LA-37-Q.Lake, Defensive Pass Interference, 21 yards, enforced at LA 29 - No Play. nflfastR event EPA: 1.825 |
| Q3 04:021 & 8 at LA 8Play 2902Counted dropback | Incomplete: 0 yardsBoth film views | Yes | 5 | 5 | Yes | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:58:00–00:58:09End zone 00:58:14–00:58:25
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. A visible run-action presentation precedes the retained passing phase. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (4:02) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right. Recorded air yards: 8 · nflfastR event EPA: -0.595 |
| Q3 03:562 & 8 at LA 8Play 2937Counted dropback | Incomplete: 0 yards to S.BellBoth film views | Yes | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:58:30–00:58:44End zone 00:58:48–00:59:06wide UI 58:30–44end_zone UI 58:48–59:06wide UI 00:58:42–00:58:44end_zone UI 00:59:02–00:59:04
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (3:56) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 13-S.Bell. Recorded air yards: 8 · nflfastR event EPA: -0.829 |
| Q3 03:493 & 13 at LA 13Play 2984Counted dropback | Scramble: 9 yardsBoth film views | Yes | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 00:59:42–00:59:54End zone 00:59:58–01:00:07wide UI 59:42–54end_zone UI 59:58–60:07
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (3:49) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right end to LA 4 for 9 yards (5-K.Kinchens). PENALTY on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at LA 4. nflfastR event EPA: 2.842 |
| Q3 02:492 & 7 at LA 7Play 3039Counted dropback | Passing touchdown: 7 yards to K.ColemanBoth film views | No | 3 | 3 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 01:00:50–01:01:00End zone 01:01:03–01:01:19
3 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (2:49) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 0-K.Coleman for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LA-35-J.Watson was injured during the play. Recorded air yards: 6 · Recorded YAC: 1 · nflfastR event EPA: 1.953 |
| Q4 12:501 & 10 at BUF 45Play 3432Counted dropback | Scramble: 22 yardsBoth film views | Yes | 5 | 5 | Yes | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled 01:08:31–01:08:43End zone sampled 01:08:51–01:09:11end_zone_exchange UI 69:01–04end_zone_pressure UI 69:04–10
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. A visible run-action presentation precedes the retained passing phase. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (12:50) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle to LA 33 for 22 yards (22-T.McDuffie). nflfastR event EPA: 1.456 |
| Q4 12:141 & 10 at LA 33Play 3454Counted dropback | Completion: 31 yards to R.DavisBoth film views | No | 5 | 5 | No | Yes | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled01:09:17–01:09:29End zone sampled01:09:31–01:09:46
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The short reception has a visible screen blocking arrangement. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (12:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 7-R.Davis to LA 2 for 31 yards (37-Q.Lake). Recorded air yards: -7 · Recorded YAC: 38 · nflfastR event EPA: 2.493 |
| Q4 11:411 & 2 at LA 2Play 3479Supplemental event | Penalty / no play: 0 yardsBoth film views | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled01:09:53–01:09:56End zone sampled01:09:59–01:10:07
Recorded play: (11:41) (No Huddle) 17-J.Allen left guard to LA 1 for 1 yard (0-B.Young). PENALTY on LA-10-J.Stewart, Defensive Offside, 1 yard, enforced at LA 2 - No Play. nflfastR event EPA: 0.153 |
| Q4 11:331 & 1 at LA 1Play 3512Supplemental event | Other QB run touchdown: 1 yardsBoth film views | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled01:10:16–01:10:22End zone sampled01:10:26–01:10:38
Recorded play: (11:33) 17-J.Allen up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. nflfastR event EPA: 0.563 |
| Q4 11:28Conversion & 0 at LA 2Play 3535Supplemental event | Two-point attempt: 2 yards to D.KincaidBoth film views | Unclear | 5 | 5 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled01:10:46–01:10:56End zone sampled01:11:03–01:11:12
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. Recorded play: TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 17-J.Allen pass to 86-D.Kincaid is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. nflfastR event EPA: 1.053 |
| Q4 05:543 & 5 at BUF 34Play 3903Counted dropback | Scramble: 15 yardsBoth film views | Yes | 5 | 5 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled 01:18:13–01:18:33End zone sampled 01:18:43–01:18:55wide UI 78:13–33end_zone UI 78:43–55
5 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. An off-ball defender joins the pocket rush. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (5:54) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right guard to BUF 49 for 15 yards (5-K.Kinchens). nflfastR event EPA: 1.987 |
| Q4 04:292 & 5 at LA 46Play 3947Counted dropback | Completion: 6 yards to D.KnoxBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled 01:19:45–01:19:53End zone sampled 01:20:00–01:20:06
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (4:29) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox to LA 40 for 6 yards (48-O.Speights). Recorded air yards: 6 · Recorded YAC: 0 · nflfastR event EPA: 0.530 |
| Q4 03:172 & 6 at LA 36Play 3994Counted dropback | Completion: 17 yards to K.ShakirBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled 01:20:53–01:21:00End zone sampled 01:21:07–01:21:14
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (3:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 10-K.Shakir to LA 19 for 17 yards (5-K.Kinchens). Recorded air yards: 17 · Recorded YAC: 0 · nflfastR event EPA: 1.389 |
| Q4 02:002 & 17 at LA 26Play 4065Counted dropback | Scramble: 21 yardsBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled 01:22:58–01:23:10End zone sampled 01:23:18–01:23:42wide UI 82:58–83:10end_zone UI 83:18–42
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (2:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right guard to LA 5 for 21 yards (30-J.Wallace; 3-K.Curl). nflfastR event EPA: 2.727 |
| OT 09:122 & 7 at BUF 30Play 4538Counted dropback | Completion: 1 yards to T.JohnsonBoth film views | No | 6 | 6 | No | Yes | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide 01:32:13–01:32:19End zone 01:32:22–01:32:40End zone UI 01:32:30–01:32:33
6 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. An off-ball defender joins the pocket rush. The short reception has a visible screen blocking arrangement. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (9:12) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-T.Johnson to BUF 40 for 10 yards (91-K.Turner; 53-N.Landman). PENALTY on BUF-13-S.Bell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 31. Recorded air yards: -5 · Recorded YAC: 6 · nflfastR event EPA: -0.945 |
| OT 08:482 & 16 at BUF 21Play 4579Counted dropback | Completion: 57 yards to K.ShakirBoth film views | Yes | 6 | 6 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled01:32:43–01:33:01End zone sampled01:33:09–01:33:21End zone UI 01:33:11–01:33:13
6 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. An off-ball defender joins the pocket rush. The footage establishes defensive disruption before the passing decision. Recorded play: (8:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to LA 22 for 57 yards (5-K.Kinchens). Recorded air yards: 5 · Recorded YAC: 52 · nflfastR event EPA: 4.454 |
| OT 03:352 & 7 at BUF 41Play 4891Counted dropback | Scramble: 19 yardsBoth film views | No | 4 | 4 | No | No | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide sampled01:38:56–01:39:06End zone sampled01:39:11–01:39:25
4 distinct pass rushers are observed before the passing decision. The observed rush does not include an off-ball defender joining the pocket attack. The visible passing platform remains free of defensive disruption through the decision. Recorded play: (3:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle to LA 40 for 19 yards (37-Q.Lake). nflfastR event EPA: 1.520 |
| OT 02:501 & 10 at LA 40Play 4913Supplemental event | Other QB run: 13 yardsBoth film views | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Footage and observationsDAZN NFL Game Pass Coaches Film, 1:41:02 Wide: 01:39:29 to 01:39:47End zone: 01:39:49 to 01:40:07
Recorded play: (2:50) 17-J.Allen left end ran ob at LA 27 for 13 yards (53-N.Landman). nflfastR event EPA: 0.463 |
No events match these filters.
Open each evidence row to see the footage locator, field observations and recorded model values.
The official event record supplies the situation and result. Manual tactical cells describe visible action in the linked Coaches Film; completed-reception receiving and throwaway judgments may be derived from official credit and are labeled separately. They follow the definitions below. Both camera views and play identity are recorded separately from field classification. Unclear and unclassified values remain separate from No. Supplemental events do not enter counted-dropback rates.
Statistical splits, Fantasy scoring and downloads
Where the play value came from
Separate the throwing, sacks and running before comparing the combined result. EPA values below are whole-event outcomes; other quarterback runs sit outside the dropback denominator.
| Event category | October 12 game | Prior four games |
|---|---|---|
| Throws | 19 plays · +9.204 total · +0.484/play | 119 plays · +44.109 total · +0.371/play |
| Sacks | 1 plays · -1.880 total · -1.880/play | 9 plays · -15.284 total · -1.698/play |
| Scrambles | 8 plays · +11.704 total · +1.463/play | 8 plays · +10.008 total · +1.251/play |
| Throws + sacks | 20 plays · +7.324 total · +0.366/play | 128 plays · +28.826 total · +0.225/play |
| All dropbacks | 28 plays · +19.028 total · +0.680/play | 136 plays · +38.833 total · +0.286/play |
| Other QB runs | 2 plays · +1.026 total · +0.513/play | 20 plays · +2.498 total · +0.125/play |
The throw, sack and scramble totals reconcile to all counted dropbacks. All eligible events have EPA values. No-play penalties, two-point attempts, spikes and kneels are excluded. The other-run category does not establish intended play design.
The pregame event EPA includes 2 receiver-fumble events. nflfastR's receiver-fumble-adjusted QB EPA changes that baseline from +0.286 to +0.337 per dropback; current-game EPA is unchanged. Neither value isolates quarterback responsibility.
The situations behind the average
The same exclusions apply to the game and each player’s pooled four-game baseline. Counts stay alongside rates because these subsets are small.
| Measure | October 12 game | Prior four games |
|---|---|---|
| Positive-EPA dropbacks | 17/28 (60.7%) | 61/136 (44.9%) |
| Positive-EPA throws + sacks | 10/20 (50.0%) | 54/128 (42.2%) |
| Early downs: 1st / 2nd | 21 dropbacks · +0.815 EPA/db | 101 dropbacks · +0.163 EPA/db |
| Long yardage: 7+ to go | 21 dropbacks · +0.681 EPA/db | 99 dropbacks · +0.296 EPA/db |
| 3rd-down conversions | 2/7 (28.6%) | 16/33 (48.5%) |
| 4th-down conversions | 0 eligible dropbacks | 2/2 (100.0%) |
| Red-zone dropbacks | 6 dropbacks · +0.276 EPA/db | 20 dropbacks · +0.007 EPA/db |
| Red-zone passing | 1/4 · 1 TD | 9/16 · 2 TD |
Success means positive event EPA. Third- and fourth-down conversions use the source’s standardized converted flags on quarterback dropbacks; other team plays are outside this subset. Automatic first-down penalties do not count in the conversion numerator, while the eligible penalized dropback remains in the denominator. Those penalty first downs are recorded separately in the downloads. Red zone means a pre-snap position at or inside the opponent’s 20. Seven or more yards to go is the stated threshold for this long-yardage comparison. Situations overlap.
Game third-down dropbacks include 1 automatic first-down penalty event(s). Red-zone passing excludes non-scramble quarterback runs; Allen’s rushing touchdown is outside that passing count.
After-catch production against the model
Compare observed YAC with nflfastR expected YAC on the same covered completions. The primary comparison excludes penalized and lateral receptions; the sensitivity column retains all counted covered completions.
| Measure | Primary clean subset | All covered completions |
|---|---|---|
| Completions included | 11 of 12 | 12 of 12 |
| Observed YAC | 190.0 yards | 196.0 yards |
| Model expected YAC | 73.4 yards | 84.0 yards |
| Difference per included catch | +10.60 yards | +9.34 yards |
The model covers 12 of 12 completions. Missing model values remain missing. Stafford’s three goal-line touchdown catches are excluded by the model’s location eligibility; Allen’s penalized completion is excluded only from the primary comparison.
This is the nflfastR play-by-play model, separate from NFL Next Gen Stats tracking. It uses recorded catch location and estimates expected gain after reception. It does not divide credit among the quarterback, receivers, blocking, defense and play design.
A fixed league comparison
Place the game beside the pooled NFL Weeks 1–4 play outcomes. This comparison uses a fixed cutoff and identical dropback exclusions.
| Event category | October 12 game | NFL Weeks 1–4 |
|---|---|---|
| All dropbacks | 28 plays · +0.680 EPA/play | 4,718 plays · +0.070 EPA/play |
| Throws + sacks | 20 plays · +0.366 EPA/play | 4,475 plays · +0.050 EPA/play |
League window: 2026-09-09 through 2026-10-05; 64 games and 32 teams. It is a pooled play average, not an equally weighted quarterback average, opponent adjustment or talent ranking. The source-classified dropback population also includes non-QB trick-play passers.
PFF’s reported game observations
PFF’s game review reports drops and throwaways alongside first-down-marker percentages and time to throw. These observations use the provider’s own definitions.
| Published measure | Game value |
|---|---|
| Dropped passes | 1 |
| Throwaways | 1 |
| Throws short of the first-down marker | 47.4% |
| Throws past the first-down marker | 47.4% |
| PFF average snap-to-throw time | 3.51 seconds |
These are PFF’s preliminary observations, separate from official statistics and nflfastR calculations. Its public review lists Stafford with 382 passing yards; the official gamebook records 383 and remains the authority for passing totals.
The Bills’ official recap identifies the 40-yard completion to Ty Johnson and 31-yard completion to Ray Davis as screens. Together, these two completions supplied 71 of Allen’s 210 passing yards, or 33.8%. Their recorded yardage consists of minus 11 net completed air yards and 82 yards after the catch. These are two verified examples, not a complete screen count. The play IDs and source are included in the tactical-observations download.
PFF’s timing and first-down-marker percentages are displayed as published. Eligible observation counts are not supplied here, so no counts are inferred from those percentages. PFF timing remains separate from NFL Next Gen Stats. Throws short of or past the marker do not identify screens or play action.
Receiver separation at the catch or incompletion
NFL Next Gen Stats records the distance between each displayed receiver and the nearest defender when the pass is caught or falls incomplete. These game averages add receiving context to the quarterback’s line.
| Receiver | Average separation |
|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 4.00 yards |
| Keon Coleman | 3.31 yards |
| Dalton Kincaid | 3.55 yards |
| Dawson Knox | 1.52 yards |
| S. Bell | 1.05 yards |
Source: the NFL Next Gen Stats game center for October 12. Its chart displays selected wide receivers and tight ends. Observation counts and a complete per-play separation feed are not supplied here. The displayed receiver averages remain separate, without a pooled quarterback average or a season comparison.
Separation at the catch or incompletion cannot by itself establish route quality, coverage assignment, a missed read or quarterback decision quality. The complete target and outcome ledger remains available below.
NFL Next Gen Stats: game summary
NFL Next Gen Stats: game summary
NFL Next Gen Stats source| Average time to throw | 2.92 seconds |
|---|---|
| Average intended air yards | 7.90 yards |
| Average completed air yards | 1.04 yards per completion |
| Tight-window attempts | 10.53% |
| Expected completion percentage | 65.61% |
| NGS completion above expectation | -2.45 percentage points |
NFL tracking summaries for October 12, 2026, imported by nflverse. NGS and nflfastR use different completion models and measurements; their values are kept separate. Time to throw excludes sacks. This summary does not provide a tracking row for every play.
Search the complete play-by-play ledger
The complete quarterback ledger
Download the full CSVFollow each recorded play in sequence, with dropbacks, other quarterback runs and penalty plays identified separately. Combine the filters to examine a quarter, play type, outcome or target receiver. The download contains the complete record.
36 plays in the complete record
| No. | Time | Down | Field | Play | Outcome | Target | Air | YAC | Gain | EPA | Play description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Q1 14:13 | 2 & 7 | LA 23 | Pass | Incomplete | D.Knox | 23.0 | N/A | 0 | -0.62 | Incomplete to D.Knox. |
| 2 | Q1 14:08 | 3 & 7 | LA 23 | Sack | Sack | N/A | N/A | N/A | -8.0 | -1.88 | Sacked for 8 yards lost. |
| 3 | Q1 05:35 | 1 & 10 | BUF 40 | Pass | Completion | J.Cook | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | +0.47 | Completion to J.Cook for 7 yards. |
| 4 | Q1 04:24 | 1 & 10 | LA 47 | Scramble | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8.0 | +0.44 | Scramble for 8 yards. |
| 5 | Q1 03:10 | 1 & 10 | LA 36 | Penalty / no play | No official play | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | +0.38 | Illegal Contact; 5 penalty yards. No official play statistics. |
| 6 | Q1 01:05 | 2 & 9 | LA 11 | Scramble | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 6.0 | -0.07 | Scramble for 6 yards. |
| 7 | Q1 00:19 | 3 & 3 | LA 5 | Pass | Incomplete | D.Knox | 5.0 | N/A | 0 | -1.65 | Incomplete to D.Knox. |
| 8 | Q2 07:17 | 2 & 6 | BUF 35 | Scramble | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7.0 | +0.79 | Scramble for 7 yards. |
| 9 | Q2 06:22 | 1 & 15 | BUF 37 | Pass | Completion | K.Shakir | -5.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | +0.09 | Completion to K.Shakir for 6 yards. |
| 10 | Q2 05:56 | 2 & 9 | BUF 43 | Pass | Completion | T.Johnson | -4.0 | 44.0 | 40.0 | +2.97 | Completion to T.Johnson for 40 yards. |
| 11 | Q2 01:11 | 2 & 8 | BUF 14 | Pass | Completion | D.Kincaid | -1.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | +0.06 | Completion to D.Kincaid for 7 yards. |
| 12 | Q2 00:37 | 3 & 6 | BUF 16 | Pass | Interception | K.Coleman | 44.0 | N/A | 0 | -1.21 | Interception to K.Coleman. |
| 13 | Q3 09:54 | 1 & 10 | LA 48 | Penalty / no play | No official play | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.93 | Offensive Holding; 10 penalty yards. No official play statistics. |
| 14 | Q3 08:35 | 2 & 21 | BUF 41 | Pass | Incomplete | D.Kincaid | 18.0 | N/A | 0 | -0.93 | Incomplete to D.Kincaid. |
| 15 | Q3 08:31 | 3 & 21 | BUF 41 | Pass | Incomplete | S.Bell | 25.0 | N/A | 0 | -1.06 | Incomplete to S.Bell. |
| 16 | Q3 05:51 | 2 & 10 | MID 50 | Pass | Completion | T.Johnson | -5.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | -0.26 | Completion to T.Johnson for 5 yards. |
| 17 | Q3 05:11 | 3 & 5 | LA 45 | Pass | Completion | T.Johnson | 5.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | +2.89 | Completion to T.Johnson for 26 yards. |
| 18 | Q3 04:34 | 1 & 10 | LA 19 | Penalty / no play | No official play | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | -1.10 | Offensive Pass Interference; 10 penalty yards. No official play statistics. |
| 19 | Q3 04:08 | 1 & 20 | LA 29 | Penalty / no play | No official play | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | +1.83 | Defensive Pass Interference; 21 penalty yards. No official play statistics. |
| 20 | Q3 04:02 | 1 & 8 | LA 8 | Pass | Incomplete | N/A | 8.0 | N/A | 0 | -0.60 | Incomplete. |
| 21 | Q3 03:56 | 2 & 8 | LA 8 | Pass | Incomplete | S.Bell | 8.0 | N/A | 0 | -0.83 | Incomplete to S.Bell. |
| 22 | Q3 03:49 | 3 & 13 | LA 13 | Scramble | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9.0 | +2.84 | Scramble for 9 yards. Defensive Holding; 2 penalty yards. EPA includes the penalty outcome. |
| 23 | Q3 02:49 | 2 & 7 | LA 7 | Pass | Touchdown | K.Coleman | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | +1.95 | Touchdown to K.Coleman for 7 yards. |
| 24 | Q4 12:50 | 1 & 10 | BUF 45 | Scramble | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22.0 | +1.46 | Scramble for 22 yards. |
| 25 | Q4 12:14 | 1 & 10 | LA 33 | Pass | Completion | R.Davis | -7.0 | 38.0 | 31.0 | +2.49 | Completion to R.Davis for 31 yards. |
| 26 | Q4 11:41 | 1 & 2 | LA 2 | Penalty / no play | No official play | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | +0.15 | Defensive Offside; 1 penalty yards. No official play statistics. |
| 27 | Q4 11:33 | 1 & 1 | LA 1 | Other QB run | Touchdown | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.0 | +0.56 | Non-scramble QB run for 1 yards and a touchdown. |
| 28 | Q4 11:28 | N/A | LA 2 | Two-point attempt | Successful conversion | D.Kincaid | N/A | N/A | N/A | +1.05 | Two-point attempt: successful conversion. |
| 29 | Q4 05:54 | 3 & 5 | BUF 34 | Scramble | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 15.0 | +1.99 | Scramble for 15 yards. |
| 30 | Q4 04:29 | 2 & 5 | LA 46 | Pass | Completion | D.Knox | 6.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | +0.53 | Completion to D.Knox for 6 yards. |
| 31 | Q4 03:17 | 2 & 6 | LA 36 | Pass | Completion | K.Shakir | 17.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | +1.39 | Completion to K.Shakir for 17 yards. |
| 32 | Q4 02:00 | 2 & 17 | LA 26 | Scramble | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 21.0 | +2.73 | Scramble for 21 yards. |
| 33 | OT 09:12 | 2 & 7 | BUF 30 | Pass | Completion | T.Johnson | -5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -0.94 | Completion to T.Johnson for 1 yards. Offensive Holding; 10 penalty yards. EPA includes the penalty outcome. |
| 34 | OT 08:48 | 2 & 16 | BUF 21 | Pass | Completion | K.Shakir | 5.0 | 52.0 | 57.0 | +4.45 | Completion to K.Shakir for 57 yards. |
| 35 | OT 03:35 | 2 & 7 | BUF 41 | Scramble | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 19.0 | +1.52 | Scramble for 19 yards. |
| 36 | OT 02:50 | 1 & 10 | LA 40 | Other QB run | Rush | N/A | N/A | N/A | 13.0 | +0.46 | Non-scramble QB run for 13 yards. |
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Scroll within the table to see every column and play. Air yards, yards after catch and gain are in yards.





