William Contreras took an 85.9-mph sweeper for a strike, then drove Kris Bubic’s next pitch, a 94.8-mph fastball, to center for a game-tying home run. Statcast measured the contact at 106.3 mph, sharply separating it from the quieter contact elsewhere in Bubic’s inning.
Bubic recorded two outs on 22 pitches, allowing two hits, one earned run and one walk with two strikeouts. He entered the fifth with the Dodgers ahead 4–3. Contreras tied the game before Milwaukee eventually won NLCS Game 2, 7–4, on October 12.
The strikeouts were both looking. Six called strikes helped Bubic acquire and finish counts, but the Brewers missed only once in six swing attempts and did not swing at any of the nine pitches outside the geometric zone. His outing combined effective takes with limited swing-and-miss support.
Season repertoire and Game 2
Scale: 0–100%. Gray: regular season. Blue: Game 2.
Four-seam fastball
Change: -2.8 percentage points.
Sinker
Change: +13.2 percentage points.
Sweeper
Change: +16.0 percentage points.
Slider
Change: +0.3 percentage points.
Changeup
Change: -26.8 percentage points.
More sinkers and sweepers in a five-hitter sample
Bubic used nine four-seamers, six sinkers, six sweepers and one slider. His primary baseline is 71 pitches from five Dodgers relief appearances, September 16 through September 26. His full regular season contains 882 pitches in 14 appearances for Kansas City and Los Angeles; club and role changes limit comparison with that broader workload.
The sinker and sweeper each made up 27.3% of Game 2, compared with 14.1% and 11.3% in the small Dodgers relief baseline. Most of his pitches went to left-handed hitters. Contreras, a right-handed hitter, saw only the sweeper and fastball that ended in the home run, so the overall mix does not describe an equal set of matchups.
The four-seamer averaged 93.8 mph, nearly its 93.7-mph baseline. Contreras’ contact came on a pitch located within the recorded zone rectangle. The damaging result does not require an explanation based on reduced speed, nor does the location by itself establish Bubic’s intended target.
William Contreras: inning 5
The two inherited runners were ultimately stranded
Brice Turang took strike three to begin the inning, and Jake Bauers also struck out looking after the home run. Christian Yelich then singled on a soft line drive, and Garrett Mitchell walked on four pitches. Bubic departed with two outs and two runners on base.
Brock Stewart allowed a single to Cooper Pratt before striking out Sal Frelick with the bases loaded. Neither of Bubic’s inherited runners scored. His final one-run line therefore reflects the home run, while the two-out single and walk explain why the relief assignment remained unfinished at his departure.
The two measured contacts against Bubic averaged 90.8 mph, a misleadingly moderate midpoint between a home run and a soft single. His two looking strikeouts also differ from a swing-and-miss recovery. The next appearance would test whether he can combine those called strikes with more unsuccessful swings, while preserving the uncertainty of a five-hitter sample.
Inning samples in context
| Inning | Pitches | Cumulative | Four-seam fastball mph | Measured n | Outs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5* | 22 | 22 | 93.8 | 9 | 2 |
Every pitch: 22 of 22
Search a hitter, select an inning or pitch type, then inspect a pitch number. Pitch result and completed plate-appearance outcome are separate columns. The table scrolls within its border.
22 of 22 pitches
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| Pitch | Inning | Hitter | Count before | Type | mph | Pitch result | Completed PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brice Turang | 0–0 | FF | 94.6 | Called Strike | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Brice Turang | 0–1 | SL | 85.7 | Ball | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Brice Turang | 1–1 | FF | 93.2 | Swinging Strike | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Brice Turang | 1–2 | FF | 94.8 | Foul | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Brice Turang | 1–2 | ST | 86.2 | Called Strike | Strikeout | |
| 5 | William Contreras | 0–0 | ST | 85.9 | Called Strike | Home Run | |
| 5 | William Contreras | 0–1 | FF | 94.8 | In play, run(s) | Home Run | |
| 5 | Jake Bauers | 0–0 | ST | 85.1 | Ball | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Jake Bauers | 1–0 | SI | 92.8 | Called Strike | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Jake Bauers | 1–1 | FF | 94.1 | Ball | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Jake Bauers | 2–1 | ST | 84.5 | Ball | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Jake Bauers | 3–1 | SI | 92.6 | Foul | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Jake Bauers | 3–2 | FF | 92.7 | Called Strike | Strikeout | |
| 5 | Christian Yelich | 0–0 | SI | 93.5 | Called Strike | Single | |
| 5 | Christian Yelich | 0–1 | ST | 84.9 | Foul | Single | |
| 5 | Christian Yelich | 0–2 | FF | 94.0 | Ball | Single | |
| 5 | Christian Yelich | 1–2 | FF | 93.6 | Ball | Single | |
| 5 | Christian Yelich | 2–2 | ST | 85.0 | In play, no out | Single | |
| 5 | Garrett Mitchell | 0–0 | SI | 91.2 | Ball | Walk | |
| 5 | Garrett Mitchell | 1–0 | SI | 92.7 | Ball | Walk | |
| 5 | Garrett Mitchell | 2–0 | SI | 92.5 | Ball | Walk | |
| 5 | Garrett Mitchell | 3–0 | FF | 92.5 | Ball | Walk |
Sources, definitions and limitations
The official final MLB record supplies events, final calls and the line. Baseball Savant’s complete Game 2 feed supplies all 22 physical pitches. Pitch ID, order, classification and pre-pitch count reconcile, including final ABS decisions. These records contain 5 batters, 2 integer outs and 2 strikeouts. In baseball notation, .1 means one out and .2 two outs. Source records current as of October 13, 2026.
The Statcast Search baseline is 71 physical pitches in 5 regular-season relief appearances for Los Angeles Dodgers, 2026-09-16 through 2026-09-26. Each game total reconciles with the official appearance log. The target game and postseason work are excluded. Same club and role in the 2026 regular season.
Whiff rate means misses divided by physical swing attempts. Swinging strikes, blocked swinging strikes, caught foul tips and missed bunts count as conventional tracking whiffs. A caught foul tip involves bat contact; it is kept distinct from a literal swing that misses the ball. Fouls, bunt attempts and balls put into play enter the attempt denominator. Both outing and baseline use the same definitions. Called strikes and completed strikeout plate appearances are separate. Chase uses ball-center coordinates outside a 17-inch-wide rectangle and each pitch’s recorded vertical boundaries. Only complete coordinates enter the zone denominator. Savant’s separate zone flag remains in the CSV and detail rather than replacing that geometric definition.
Speed is mph, spin rpm, extension feet and movement inches. Induced vertical break describes movement relative to a gravity-only path. Location and zone boundaries are feet in catcher view. Numbered markers preserve exact coordinates and are not ball size. Release, location, spin, extension and movement measurements are complete for all outing pitches. Contact and expected-outcome measurements can be unavailable and remain missing in the detail and CSV. 2 of 2 balls put into play have measured exit speed. Hard-hit means at least 95 mph; the baseline has 13 measured contacts among 13. Expected outcomes are Savant model estimates, not actual results. The comparisons are descriptive and do not establish intention, fatigue, injury or a durable trend.
